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Student of the Market

BlackRock’s monthly market commentary series for advisors, examining historical and current market trends and their potential investment implications. Put market movements into context for clients today.

Key market trends

Digit 1

Stocks rise while bonds slip below zero in 2026

Through July, U.S. stocks are positive while bonds have slipped, a combination seen only seven times in the past 50+ years.
Digit 2

Tech valuations have fallen even as returns surged

Tech valuations fell from 40x to 33x in the past year, even as the sector has seen very strong returns. Historically, this combination has preceded continued strong gains.
Digit 3

60/40 downside capture now exceeds upside

For the first time on record, the 60/40 portfolio has captured more market downside than upside, highlighting the need for additional sources of diversification.

Watch the August 2026 Student of the Market video

Investment insights to help guide client conversations

Key chart from seminar

Morningstar and Bloomberg as of 6/30/26. U.S. stocks represented by the S&P 500 Index. AI companies were identified using an objective holdings-based screen: S&P 500 constituents were classified as ‘AI’ if, as of June 30th, 2026, they were held in at least one of the five largest (by AUM) U.S.-listed AI-themed ETFs, selected based on stated AI-focused investment objectives/strategy. The resulting AI basket includes 51 S&P 500 companies. Energy represents S&P 500 companies in the GICS Energy Sector. Everything Else represents the S&P 500 excluding the AI-classified and Energy constituents. ETF selection and constituent classification are rules-based and do not reflect BlackRock’s view of any company’s current or future AI revenue, business exposure, or prospects. Index performance is for illustrative purposes only. Index performance does not reflect any management fees or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI continues to lead markets

Markets benefit from easing geopolitical tensions, accelerating AI investment and hardware shortages. We remain constructive on AI equities as a driver of U.S. earnings growth.

Diversify portfolios for volatility

Strong rallies can bring elevated volatility. Diversify with buffer strategies seeking to help reduce downside risk and alternatives to add differentiated sources of potential return.

Higher yields can create income opportunities

A hawkish Fed has kept bond yields elevated. Today's higher yields can continue to create attractive income opportunities for fixed income investors.

Advisor questions on Student of the Market

  • Student of the Market is a BlackRock monthly market commentary series that helps advisors and investors interpret current market conditions through historical trend review, economic analysis, and portfolio insights.

  • Yes, while designed for advisors, Student of the Market materials, that do not indicate otherwise, may be shared with retail clients.

  • Yes, in BlackRock’s Brand & Share Tool, you can add your logo, font and colors to both the Student of the Market and Client Outlook decks. Log in to BlackRock’s Advisor Center to personalize client-approved resources.

  • Advisors can help clients navigate market volatility by focusing on long-term investment goals, diversification, historical market recoveries and disciplined portfolio positioning rather than reacting to short-term headlines.

  • Historical market trends can help investors understand how markets have responded to inflation, elections, recessions, geopolitical events, and volatility over time, providing context for current investment decisions.