2021 Midyear Outlook

The economic restart is real, and it is broadening out globally. But what comes next?


Our first theme for the rest of 2021 is what we call the new nominal, whereby we expect higher inflation in the medium term as a result of more muted monetary policy response to inflation than in the past. We're turning even more positive on European equities and upgrading Japanese equities to neutral. We are moderating our view on US equities to neutral.

Our second theme is China stands out. Chinese assets play a key role in an increasingly bifurcated US-China world, and they need to be considered as a standalone asset allocation. The quality revolution in China, putting the quality of growth over the quantity of growth, makes us tactically neutral on Chinese equities as strategically overweight.

Our third theme is the net zero journey. Our journey to net zero in terms of carbon emissions has a clear starting point and a destination. But there's no roadmap, and we see many zigzags along the way. While overweight, the tech sector is better positioned for the green transition.

The bottom line is, as the economic restart broadens out, we remain pro risk even though the path for risky assets to push higher is getting narrower.


What comes after the economic restart? We see three themes for markets shaping the remainder of the year. Watch Wei Li, Chief Investment Strategist, explain on BlackRock Bottom Line and read the BlackRock Investment Institute’s Midyear Outlook.


Innovation on the road to net zero

Larry Fink: I really believe the transformation of leadership, the transformation of businesses is about more and more leaders in their focusing on things about their stakeholders. They're connecting with their employees deeper and broader, they’re connecting with the client broader and they're certainly trying to be more connected to their society. So much of that is in this letter it is about moving forward on better disclosure, more complete disclosure, especially in that zero climate change. And investing is something that is a powerful economic result. As we move towards a more sustainable world it's going to create great jobs, is going to create a you know a great environment, and so we should not be afraid of it we should all be embracing it and finding ways that we could you know be a part of that and I think this is one of the big messages in the 2021 letter.

Larry Fink on our sustainable future

Larry Fink, BlackRock’s Chairman and CEO, joins The Bid podcast to talk about how the energy transition, including the widespread adoption of net zero, will fundamentally reshape the global economy.

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Car on a winding road