
3+1 Investor Series
The 3+1 Investors Series is BlackRock’s weekly investor video franchise, created to start your week with insights from the voices shaping markets. Featuring the firm’s leading investors, each episode highlights three perspectives on what’s driving markets today.
BlackRock | 3+1 Series
FC Transcript 092226
Episode 121: Michael Gates
There’s actually an amazing espresso shot directly across the street from headquarters. I think I'm gonna go right after this.
Good morning, I'm Michael Gates. I run the target allocation model portfolios at BlackRock. It's the week of September 28th. Here are three things you need to know. And one you don’t.
Number one.
Despite stocks being up 13% year-to-date, by at least one important measure, stocks are actually cheaper than they were on January 1st this year. And, that is by the price-to-earnings ratio. We’ve actually seen a larger move up in earnings than the stock market price itself. The price-to-earnings ratio is actually down 14% year-to-date. By that measure it’s reassurance that things aren’t getting too far ahead of themselves.
Next Up.
We customize models for thousands of clients and one thing we see across the board is the importance of getting the AI positioning right. Now that's become more complicated this year, because the volatility of AI names has increased substantially and the weight to those stocks in the major indexes is much higher than it was at the start of the year. One of things we’re doing in models is managing the size, the positions, in AI so that we get the upside without excess volatility. It's a matter of getting positioned for AI without being over invested in the theme.
Number three.
I think there are two ways to invest in the AI theme right now that make a lot of sense. One is to invest in AI beneficiaries that are providing the compute. But the second way is to focus on AI adopters, which are firms that are employing AI to increase revenue and reduce cost. One of the measures we’re looking at: token consumption for AI has gone up 30% per month, which is compounding at a tremendous annual rate. That’s a huge increase in demand primarily coming from enterprises. For those firms, we’re seeing an increased opportunity and we’re positioning portfolios to benefit that.
And finally.
My morning routine has a number of things stacked in it. I eat 5 eggs, I drink 5 shots of espresso, and I take a cold shower. My hot take is that a double shot of espresso is a single shot…cause it comes out of the machine with two prongs, so I just count that as a single shot.
To get more 3+1 be sure to follow us on LinkedIn & YouTube. We’ll see you next week.
3+1 Episode 21: Michael Gates
Michael Gates, portfolio manager for the Target Allocation models, breaks down why stocks can be up yet cheaper on a price-to-earnings basis and how he’s managing AI exposure in model portfolios with an eye on both risk and opportunities.

