Education
The information contained on this website is intended strictly for Sophisticated Clients as defined under the Capital Market Authority rules and regulations.
The information contained on this website is being made available on the basis that the recipient acknowledges and understands:
This website and the information it contains is not directed at residents of any country where it is prohibited by law or regulations from making the information available. It is not intended for access or any use that would be contrary to local law or regulation.
The CMA has no responsibility for reviewing or verifying any Prospectus or other documents contained on this website.
Whilst great care has been taken to ensure that the information contained on this website is accurate, no responsibility can be accepted for any errors, mistakes or omissions or for any action taken in reliance thereon.
You may only reproduce, circulate and use any information contained on this website with the express consent of BlackRock Saudi Arabia.
BlackRock Saudi Arabia is authorised and regulated by the Capital Market Authority, license no. 18-192-30.
BlackRock Saudi Arabia is located in 29th floor, Olaya Towers – Tower B, 3074 Prince Mohammed bin Abdulaziz St, Olaya District, Riyadh 12213 – 8022, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
I CONFIRM THAT I AM A SOPHISTICATED INVESTOR, HAVE READ THE IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND WISH TO PROCEED
Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.
Managing macro risk
The macro outlook is more uncertain. Exposures to macro risk can be punished as well as rewarded, so we think investors should be deliberate about which exposures they take.
Steering portfolio outcomes
We believe the new regime rewards an active approach to portfolios. We don’t see one-and-done strategies working as in the past.
Harnessing mega forces
Mega forces are key drivers of the new regime, affecting the long-term growth and inflation outlook and creating shifts in profitability. We see them as a source of return now and far into the future.
This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or financial product or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of December 2023 and may change as subsequent conditions vary.
Karim Chedid: Welcome to Around the World. Spotlight on our 2024 outlook. We see elevated volatility persisting in the new year, leading to higher dispersion of returns.
Yet we see this as a time of opportunity and look to put the cash on the sidelines. Back to work. And I believe selectivity, agility and scale will be key to identifying opportunities and achieving alpha. I'm joined today by Ann-Katrin Petersen, Senior Investment Strategist for the BlackRock Investment Institute, who will discuss our new investment themes for 2024. I'll then look at what these themes mean for investors portfolios.
Ann Katrin Petersen: Thanks, Karim.
We see a real opportunity to take advantage of greater volatility in the new regime this year. Our first investment theme for 2024 looks at managing macro risks. Growth across major economies has been slower than before the pandemic and interest rates much higher. We believe that markets have started adjusting to this new reality and we seek out mispricing as they do. Our second theme really focuses on the idea that investors need to take a more active approach to their portfolios and be deliberate about any macro exposures. The reality is that dispersion of returns and volatility create space for investment skill to shine, and we see a huge opportunity to make lemonade out of the macro lemons and put more money to work. This involves being both dynamic and selective with index and alpha seeking strategies, and one way to do that is theme free harnessing mega forces. These are big structural forces in the global economy and market structure. Markets are typically slow at pricing those mega forces making for abundant investment opportunities. We see mega force as driving returns now and in the future, and they also serve as important portfolio building blocks on their own.
Karim Chedid: Thanks. Ann-Katrin.
So how can we implement these themes in portfolios? We're managing macro risk through a whole portfolio approach. Looking back to bonds for income and the last we see an opportunity to lock in yields at decade-highs with fixed-maturity bonds. We remain overweight, short dated U.S. treasuries, and we favor duration in Europe. We turn to alternatives and private markets for diversification, and we look to size cash sleeves appropriately for the environment ahead. As we believe the record level of cash on the sidelines is somewhat unwarranted. We follow two approaches to put money back to work, either through attractive valuations or through seeking quality.
For example, we see good value in developed market (DM) sectors like energy and European banks, and we also see opportunity in Japanese equities as resurgent. Inflation and wage growth translate into better pricing power for Japanese companies. Finally, we're harnessing mega forces through exposure to their catalysts and their beneficiaries. We expect that AI will continue to shape markets in 2024. We see the strongest opportunity set today in semiconductors, and we look to Alpha strategies to identify the next generation of AI breakthroughs. With more people set to vote in 2024 than in any year in history. The geopolitical fragmentation. Mega force is also in focus. We see an acceleration in the rewiring of global supply chains through reshoring and new shoring, and we expect sectors like industrials and materials to benefit from this with our views and our implementation ideas across asset classes at the link below. And thank you for joining.
Karim Chedid, Head of EMEA iShares Investment Strategy and Ann-Katrin Petersen, Senior Investment Strategist and Director with the BlackRock Investment Institute (BII), break down our key themes and Outlook for 2024