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New technologies lie at the heart of resolving or accelerating the five megatrends. Breakthrough innovation is necessary to address large-scale challenges (e.g. ageing economies, climate change), while new solutions are also targeting relatively minor problems (e.g. payments, streaming). This backdrop has created a fertile ground for disruptive innovation and Thematic investing.
Learn more about the megatrends shaping our future of economies, business and society.
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Consider the advent of electric vehicles, e-commerce, solar panels, robotics, cloud computing, streaming, smart grids and many other modern-day innovations. In each case, engineers and entrepreneurs are aiming to capitalize on the need for either a new solution or a better alternative in existing markets.
We believe disruptive innovation is most likely to emerge in two scenarios:
A new and unique solution is developed to resolve a significant constraint or challenge.
New competitors are attracted to industries with large profit pools and high returns, developing better alternatives in existing markets.
Breakthrough innovations have become more powerful in recent years thanks to globalisation and the ubiquity of technology. Together, they have lowered entry barriers for new competitors and accelerated the adoption of new technologies around the world, thereby unleashing a wave of disruptive opportunities across industries and economies. As such, technological growth has become exponential.
This year,
over half
of the world’s population is expected to have access to the internet for the first time.
Source: International Telecommunication Union, Dec 2018.
Firstly, we seek areas of the economy that provide the right conditions for breakthrough technologies – spending on research and innovation, supportive regulation, shifts in consumer demand and societal challenges that need to be resolved. We then aim to identify innovative companies with superior solutions that can boost long term growth. The flipside of innovation is disruption - we remain wary of industry incumbents with legacy products that face new competitive threats.
It is important here to assess the lifecycle of new technologies – to avoid hype and invest in reality, and to understand the bottlenecks for new tech adoption. In turn, we highlight firms that enable new technologies – e.g. lithium miners that power electric vehicle batteries or semiconductors firms which connect smart homes. Similarly, we also seek to invest in those that provide the infrastructure necessary for new technologies (e.g. 5G networks, smart grids).
Our range of thematic funds offer a way for investors to tap into megatrends, which we believe gives investors exposure to companies with structurally higher earnings growth, which in-turn could drive stronger investment returns over the longer term.
BlackRock funds (active)
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Fintech View fund
Future of
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Next Generation
Technology
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Nutrition View fund
Sustainable
Energy
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Circular
Economy
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iShares funds (index)
Ageing
Population
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Agribusiness View fund
Automation
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Digitalisation View fund
Digital
Security
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Electric Vehicles & Driving Technology View fund
EM Consumer
Growth
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Global Clean
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Global Water View fund
Healthcare
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Inclusion &
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Technological breakthrough
New technologies lie at the heart of resolving or accelerating the five megatrends. Breakthrough innovation is necessary to address large-scale challenges (e.g. ageing economies, climate change), while new solutions are also targeting relatively minor problems (e.g. payments, streaming). This backdrop has created a fertile ground for disruptive innovation and Thematic investing.
Demographics and social change
Changes in global demographics will bring significant challenges and opportunities for societies and businesses. The forces that underpin this megatrend include ageing populations in advanced economies and China, the outlook for future jobs, immigration pressure, skills imbalance and the radically different priorities of younger generations.
Rapid urbanisation
Cities have always been hubs for talent, capital and innovation. In the last decade, hundreds of large cities have been built in emerging economies, attracting significant infrastructure investments. Large cities such as San Francisco, London, Paris and New York have also been the ideal launch pads for entrepreneurs given their large, dense populations. Understanding the advantages and challenges of future cities can help us identify the next sources of growth.
Climate change and resource scarcity
An expanding population and the rising demand for food, energy and materials continue to strain the finite resources of the planet. The need for solutions that improve energy efficiency, lower food waste and provide alternatives to scarce resources has never been greater. Underlying these trends is the persistent increase in global emissions which has led to intensifying debates around climate change and how we can resolve it.
Emerging global wealth
In the last twenty years, developing economies have been lifted by the rising tide of globalisation and manufacturing shifting to Asia. The emergence of a sizeable, aspirational middle class, particularly in China, has made it an important destination for global companies. We continue to expect emerging markets to offer significant growth potential for domestic and multinational firms.
Use our simple tool to see how our five megatrends connect to investment themes and funds.
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