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Yes, of course I have a map of middle Earth. I don’t live in the present. I study the past, and I dream of the future. Alright, serious topics.
Good morning. I’m Tony Kim, Head of Fundamental Equities, Global Technology Group. It’s the week of May 18th. And here are three things you need to know, and one you don’t.
Number one. AI capex are approaching one-trillion dollars this year, and the reason: there is a new economy around compute and tokens, effectively a token economy, where compute = revenue. This trend will continue. I suspect this will double to multiple trillions by the end of the decade. And all that technology companies that serve that mission is where we have aligned all of our capital.
Next up. Number two. We have seen one-to-two trillion of market capitalization come out of the software and services. The center of it is around coding and the ability to create software. That has ramifications on the business model of selling code. So how are we investing right now is those aligned with this new token economy around the creation of data, the managing of data, and on the cyber side - the security of the data.
Which brings us to number three. We could have a world where we have AI that builds AI.Humanoid robotics in scale, autonomous vehicles, autonomous transportation systems by the millions. Scientific breakthroughs of AI and quantum computers that can simulate potentially nature. When you see tectonic shifts align yourself with where the puck is going.
And the one thing you don’t need to know… I love movies. I love sci-fi. That’s always been part of my existence. My hot take? The best embodiment of what is happening, The OG. Stanley Kubrick's: 2001 A Space Odyssey. All in that movie is encapsulated questions of the past…the dawn of man. The future. Many of the questions that we ponder today around AI safety. When an entity like HAL– not opening the pod bay doors…
To get more 3+1 and stay up on everything you need to know, and some things you don’t… Make sure to follow us on LinkedIn & YouTube. We’ll see you next week.
In this week’s episode of 3+1, Tony Kim, Head of BlackRock Fundamental Equities’ Global Technology team, breaks down the trends driving today’s tech market. He explores the growth of a new compute-driven economy, the implications of falling software costs and how investors can think about positioning as AI progress accelerates.