• All
  • Climate change
  • Inflation
  • Private markets
  • Fixed income
  • Portfolio design
  • Portfolio design

    Our framework for blending returns

    We have updated our analysis to include the Covid-19 period - a natural experiment to see what happened to manager returns through a risk selloff and rebound of unprecedented speed and size. The results reinforce our framework.
  • Portfolio design

    What could go wrong?

    We see our themes persisting yet feel it is prudent to stress test our views to gauge just how different the outlook needs to be from our base case to shift our asset preferences.
  • Portfolio design

    Embracing uncertainty

    In this inaugural joint paper with GIC, we look into two approaches to incorporate uncertainty in portfolio construction to overcome the shortcomings of traditional portfolio methods.
  • Portfolio design

    Getting granular

    We take a look at the strategic implications of our yield curve and sectoral views
  • Portfolio design

    The role of Chinese assets

    Strategic rivalry between the U.S. and China is creating a bipolar world. We believe investors need exposure to both spheres of growth to help meet their long-term goals.
  • Climate change

    Launching climate-aware CMAs and portfolios

    We believe climate risk is investment risk. That is why we are incorporating it into our portfolio design, an integral part of a series of actions BlackRock is taking to prepare for a net-zero world.
  • Inflation

    A new playbook for higher inflation

    One important consequence of the joint monetary and fiscal policy revolution for strategic investment decisions is the potential for a more muted response of nominal yields to higher inflation – a break from the past patterns.
  • Climate change

    Sustainability: The tectonic shift transforming investing

    A commonly held view is that a return sacrifice is needed when adopting sustainable investing. We disagree - and in fact believe the opposite is true.
  • Portfolio design

    Building strategic asset allocations

    We launch four, investor-specific strategic asset allocations that take into account our lower expected returns across asset classes, and each investor type’s typical objectives.
  • Portfolio design

    Multiple return pathways

    Our CMAs give a view of returns over an entire horizon - a term structure. Our use of uncertainty creates a range of potential return pathways.
  • Portfolio design

    Understanding uncertainty

    Building resilient, investor-specific portfolios requires a shift away from point estimates for returns. That is why we explicitly include uncertainty into our return projections.
  • Portfolio design

    Blending alpha and factor returns

    Blending alpha-seeking and index products has become more challenging as the number of indices has increased and factor strategies have emerged.
  • Private markets

    The core role of private markets

    Private markets play a core role in modern portfolios. We show how many institutional investors have room for relatively large allocations to private markets.
  • Fixed income

    Rethinking the role of government bonds

    Worries that interest rates in regions such as the euro area and Japan are hovering around what we perceive as their prevailing lower bound force a rethink of the starting point for government bond allocations.
  • Portfolio design

    Readying for real resilience

    The Covid-19 shock turned on its head the economic trajectory that markets had priced in before the pandemic, precipitating an urgent need to revisit strategic asset allocation.
Capital market assumptions
Our capital market assumptions show our return expectations across asset classes.
Capital market assumptions