Credit Currents

Tracking the forces shaping credit markets — and the signals investors should watch next.

1Q2026 Global Credit Outlook: Dispersion, not disruption

Dec 30, 2025 | 8 minute read | Dominique Bly

With peak macro headwinds likely behind us, the focus shifts from broad disruption to sharper differentiation. In this environment, income still stands out — but so does the need to be selective.

Additional perspectives on credit

Navigating private credit’s liquidity, scale, and performance dynamics

As liquidity gets tested in parts of private credit, the real differentiator is how managers navigate an increasingly dispersed market.

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Earnings readthrough: Implications for credit investors

The backdrop still looks supportive for credit, but beneath the surface, outcomes are becoming far more borrower-specific.

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Navigating AI’s cross currents

AI is opening new doors across credit markets even as it creates sharper winners and losers beneath the surface.

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Private credit through the BDC lens

Private credit’s growth story is also an access story, with BDCs playing a bigger role in how capital reaches the market.

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Private credit’s growth through an insurance lens

A closer look at what draws insurers deeper into private credit — and where the real boundaries may lie.

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Putting Private Credit Concerns in Perspective

An examination of whether the market’s loudest concerns point to broader stress — or a more selective story beneath the surface.

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Q4 2025 — Still climbing the ‘wall of worry’

A closer look at the questions building beneath a still-resilient market backdrop.

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Q3 2025 — Two-sided risks

An exploration of the tension between opportunity and caution as risk broadens out.

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Q2 2025 — Crosscurrents

A closer read on the competing signals shaping credit beneath an unsettled backdrop.

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