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Venture capital market outlook

Explore our analysis of the venture capital market; a dynamic and rapidly evolving landscape shaped by macroeconomic shifts and technological advancements.

Key takeaways

01.

Record high dry powder

Venture capital firms are holding record amounts of dry powder due to prolonged high interest rates, inflation and record fundraising in 2021

02.

Cash conservation

Existing VC-backed companies are conserving cash and preparing long-term exit strategies for when the exit environment improves

03.

Sector focus

There is a notable increase in investment in AI and ML technology across various regions

Fundraising environment

The Venture Capital (VC) fundraising environment has experienced extreme volatility in recent years; catalyzed by a combination of macroeconomic factors including widespread increased inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and persistently high interest rates. Limited Partners (LPs) who continue to invest in VC are increasingly concentrating their commitments on blue-chip managers with proven, top-quartile track records.

Image of Global annual venture capital raised (USD B)1

Importance of manager selection and diversification when investing in VC

In the ever-competitive venture investing landscape manager selection remains a key component of prudent portfolio construction. As seen in the figure below, the outer bounds of the dispersion of performance indicate outsized potential returns with the 95th percentile returning nearly 5x.

Image of Dispersion of TVPI by strategy2

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