• What is the impact of this megatrend?
  • What are the potential implications for the future?
Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed. You may not get back the amount originally invested.
We’re amid a fourth industrial revolution, which will become known as the digital revolution.1
Klaus Schwab, Founder of the World Economic Forum.
The rapid advancement of technology, especially that of artificial intelligence and machine learning, is arguably at the centre of all megatrends.
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The Impact

5 examples demonstrating
technological breakthrough:

1. The pace of change is exponential, not linear
The extent and pace of technological change is likely to have wide-reaching implications across almost all industries. People may be replaced with machines, and machines, robotics and AI may learn faster than humans.
Linear growth
30 steps
Exponential growth
30 steps
30 steps doubled each time
Over a billion steps and would circumnavigate the globe a number of times
2. Data is the new oil
Data is the key enabler of this fourth industrial revolution. Indeed, it’s hard to imagine how powerful it could become. Jack Ma, the founder and executive chairman of Alibaba, likens data to the discovery of electricity. He said, “The world is going to be data. I think this is just the beginning of the data period.”3
Information created worldwide = expected to continue accelerating
Source: IDC DataAge 2025 Study, sponsored by Seagate (3/17) (Note: 1 petabyte = 1MM gigabytes, 1 zeta byte = 1MM petabytes).
The total amount of global data is expected to increase tenfold by 2025,4 the majority of which will be created and managed by business.
3. Disrupting the labour market
One thing is for sure – the fourth industrial revolution looks set to do more than just disrupt the labour market. Many repetitive jobs can already be done by a machine, but with the rise of Artificial Intelligence, human expertise can now be learned and mastered by a system. Yes, this means that certain jobs will be replaced by machines, but it also means that the potential for new and emerging industries and opportunities is greater than ever before.
4. Data security
Data breaches and hacking episodes are already rife in the connected world - the recent Facebook scandal being a good example of this. With a significant increase in connectivity and potentially billions more insecure devices, data security will be the difference between success and failure for many businesses.
5. Technology start-ups will replace traditional manufacturers
‘Old’ industries like appliance and car manufacturers are facing a serious situation – they either invest in the next era, or risk obsolescence. The CEO of Trimble (US automation company) said that "companies that don’t invest in automation now, will not exist in 5 years’ time”. The race for ‘edge’ through technological advantage is on, and the incumbents will have to fight to hold their position.

The Outlook

3 potential implications of this megatrend:

In many respects, when standing on the brink of such significant technological breakthrough, it’s very hard to predict the future. Even policymakers and governments find it almost impossible to keep abreast.
1. The emergence of the ‘Internet of Things’
By the year 2020, our world will be even more connected to the internet. Our cars, coffee machines, fridges and central heating will all be controlled from our tablets and smartphones. To put this into context, Gartner5 estimates that in 2014 there were 7 billion ‘things’ connected by the internet. By 2020, that will rise to 26 billion.
2. Improved standards of living through robotics and AI
As robots and artificial intelligence take on more jobs, costs should decrease, and more people will be able to afford better products. At the same time, dramatic improvements could be made to infrastructure, and transport costs might plummet.
3. Healthcare improvements
People will live longer and better lives, as healthcare technology improves patient outcomes and eradicates certain diseases. This will mitigate some of the issues of long-term care we discussed in the previous chapter.
Thriving in this new world requires the best people, the best computing systems and the best algorithms - all working together. It’s not “either / or.” It’s “and.”
Joseph Kochanasky,
head of the Aladdin product group

Thematic stories

This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product or to adopt any investment strategy.